Sky Sports Lewis Jones…<\/em><\/p>\nOpposing goals in matches at Wembley remains a sustainable long-term betting strategy. It might be the mecca of English football – to play there is every footballer’s dream – but I’m convinced the place saps the momentum out of a game.<\/p>\n
Maybe the jeopardy of what is at stake plays a part, which in turn leads to low-scoring matches, but I think games there rarely spark into life. The numbers remain damning and provide hard evidence that Wembley is a place to back low scores.<\/p>\n
Across the last 49 domestic and European matches played at Wembley (so this isn’t including international football), the average goals per 90 stands at 1.88 in normal time. And if you had backed the under 3.5 line in those 49 games, you’d have won 46 times. That’s a 94-per-cent hit rate over a sample size of 49 matches. A huge return on your investment despite the prices being very short.<\/p>\n
Along with backing a low-scoring game, I’m not comfortable going with Arsenal as favourites here. This is their first final appearance in any cup competition for almost six years, and in their last 17 away games in a Champions League knockout tie or at Liverpool, Chelsea and Man City, the Gunners have won just once.<\/p>\n
The bet is Manchester City on the double chance alongside under 3.5 total goals at 10\/11 with Sky Bet.<\/p>\n
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 (Man City to win on penalties)<\/h3>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Arsenal face Manchester City in the Carabao Cup final on March 22 live on Sky Sports. The top two in the Premier League will face off at Wembley Stadium for … <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1178,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"pagelayer_contact_templates":[],"_pagelayer_content":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1177","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-arsenal"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ipsport.com.ng\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1177","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ipsport.com.ng\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ipsport.com.ng\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ipsport.com.ng\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ipsport.com.ng\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1177"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ipsport.com.ng\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1177\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ipsport.com.ng\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1178"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ipsport.com.ng\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1177"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ipsport.com.ng\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1177"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ipsport.com.ng\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1177"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
![\"Highlights](\"https:\/\/e0.365dm.com\/25\/09\/768x432\/skysports-football-premier-league_7028039.jpg?20250921184805\")